Exports, Government Size and Economic growth: Evidence from Iran as a Developing Oilbased Economy مقاله

نویسنده: Faraji Dizaji، Sajjad ؛ hosseini nasab، ebrahim ؛ Bergeijk، Peter A.G. van ؛ Assari، Abbas ؛

The International Journal of Humanities Summer 2014، Volume 21 - Number 3 ، علمی-پژوهشی (وزارت علوم/ISC (‎42 صفحه - از 45 تا 86 )

کلیدواژه ها: Economic growth Iran Government Size oil exports Non-oil Exports Oil Prices

چکیده:

This paper investigates the short- run and long-run effects of government size and exports on the economic growth of Iran as a developing oil export based economy for the period of 1974 - 2008 using an autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) framework. A modified form of Feder (1982) and subsequently Ram’s (1986) model has been applied to include both government size and exports in growth equation. The findings show that in long run and short run the Armey curve (1995) is valid, indicating that both a very big size and a too small size of government are harmful for growth and government should adjust its size. The results also show that total exports, the amount of oil exports in terms of barrels and oil prices affect economic growth positively and significantly both in short-run and long-run. However, non-oil exports do not have a significant effect on growth in the long run.

خلاصه ماشینی:

"Exports, Government Size and Economic growth: Evidence from Iran as a Developing Oil- based Economy Sajjad Faraji Dizaji1, Ebrahim Hosseini Nasab2, Peter A. G. van Bergeijk3, Abbas Assari4 Received: 10/12/2012 Accepted: 27/1/2014 Abstract This paper investigates the short- run and long-run effects of government size and exports on the economic growth of Iran as a developing oil export based economy for the period of 1974 - 2008 using an autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) framework. g. , Emery, 1967; Michalopoulos and Jay, 1973; Michaely, 1977; Balassa, 1978 and 1985; Bhagwati, 1978, Heller and Porter, 1978; Fajana, 1979; Tyler, 1981; Feder, 1982; Kavoussi, 1984, Krueger, 1985, Moschos, 1989; Grossman and Helpman, 1991; Giles and Williams, 2000, Abu-Qarn 2004). Therefore, it will be useful we include the government size as a determinant variable in our growth model when we want to investigate the ELG hypothesis in developing oil export based economies, because the changes in government size can influence the process of economic growth in these economies as well. For the purpose of investigating the existence of long run and short run relationships among exports (both in aggregate and disaggregated forms), government size and economic growth, the bounds testing approach to co- integration and error correction models developed within an autoregressive distributed lags (ARDL) framework is applied to Iranian annual data for the period of 1974 to 2008. Discussion and Conclusion In this study, we use an ARDL framework to investigate the impacts of exports and government size (in addition to labor and capital) on the long-run and short-run growth of Iranian economy."

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